Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.033021 0.038896 0.044999 0.051774 0.059047 0.066589 0.074968
2025-11-02 0.023942 0.032332 0.041614 0.052463 0.064633 0.077726 0.092746
2025-11-09 0.017608 0.027235 0.038531 0.052323 0.068337 0.086035 0.106795
2025-11-16 0.012192 0.022073 0.034437 0.050199 0.069088 0.090465 0.116012
2025-11-23 0.008312 0.018026 0.031038 0.048335 0.069666 0.094303 0.124207
2025-11-30 0.006295 0.016091 0.029997 0.049086 0.073128 0.101297 0.135853
2025-12-07 0.004868 0.014712 0.029472 0.050318 0.077036 0.108709 0.147895
2025-12-14 0.003961 0.013966 0.029694 0.052419 0.081945 0.117256 0.161220
2025-12-21 0.002923 0.012693 0.028990 0.053172 0.085077 0.123607 0.171910
2025-12-28 0.002777 0.013154 0.030869 0.057413 0.092629 0.135307 0.188937
2026-01-04 0.001639 0.011071 0.028630 0.055861 0.092673 0.137801 0.194962
2026-01-11 0.001121 0.010192 0.028181 0.056726 0.095778 0.143997 0.205374
2026-01-18 0.000611 0.009021 0.027218 0.056940 0.098200 0.149587 0.215375
2026-01-25 0.000309 0.008199 0.026771 0.057878 0.101594 0.156428 0.226960
2026-02-01 0.000081 0.007105 0.025679 0.057775 0.103547 0.161437 0.236307
2026-02-08 NaN 0.005489 0.023299 0.055545 0.102500 0.162575 0.240851
2026-02-15 NaN 0.004173 0.021205 0.053581 0.101696 0.163935 0.245597
2026-02-22 NaN 0.003708 0.020876 0.054374 0.104680 0.170112 0.256260
2026-03-01 NaN 0.003405 0.020873 0.055673 0.108358 0.177173 0.268013
2026-03-08 NaN 0.003332 0.021426 0.057888 0.113328 0.185904 0.281842
2026-03-15 NaN 0.002962 0.021146 0.058681 0.116268 0.192000 0.292394
2026-03-22 NaN 0.003381 0.023025 0.063142 0.124447 0.204906 0.311432
2026-03-29 NaN 0.002553 0.021349 0.061511 0.123897 0.206453 0.316310